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That's a really difficult question to answer. But let me try! I would start by saying the criticality of the application would be a major driver. I'm going to divide the world into two groups criticality and complexity. I'm using criticality as a measure of importance and value to the organization. I'm using complexity as a measure of how difficult it will be to implement/realize the use case/story for which the scenarios are related.
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How to read the graph
Each quadrant represents a level a complexity and criticality.
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